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	<title>quorumassociates.com &#187; risk management</title>
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		<title>Too Big to Save</title>
		<link>http://quorumassociates.com/thoughtleadership/financial-crisis</link>
		<comments>http://quorumassociates.com/thoughtleadership/financial-crisis#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 18:43:43 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bank failure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial institutions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial system failure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[government policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[risk management]]></category>

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This article is written by Francis Goldwyn, Managing Director, Quorum Associates LLC
Much of my working life has been  involved in international business in some [...]]]></description>
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<h1 class="byline">This article is written by Francis Goldwyn, Managing Director, Quorum Associates LLC</h1>
<p>Much of my working life has been  involved in international business in some form or another. I have been given  the opportunity to observe a wide variety of cultures, political institutions,  economic activity, and living environments. This experience has left me in awe  of the human condition, its inventiveness and creativity. The structures and  institutions we humans have created to support and organize our lives are vast  and complex. I have observed the connection between what we do today in Beijing, Mumbai, or Singapore,  and what happens in New York, Paris,  London or Mexico    City. I could argue that globalization has been with  us since the late 12th century, but not with the degree of  interconnectedness we have today. I find myself thinking more and more about  this interconnectedness and how it impacts our daily lives.</p>
<p>Human endeavor has become deeply  interwoven, globally. No longer do we live in a world of separate nations and  economies, interacting with each other from the protected safety of our own  shores or borders. Human ingenuity and creativity has bound us closer together blurring  the historical boundaries between cultures, nations, and economies. This social  fusion has accelerated in the last 20 years. What is more it has outrun many of  the political, social, legal and economic institutions civil society has built over  the last century. These institutions struggle with the pace of demands placed  upon them. The depth of the interconnectedness and the relentless pressure it  creates exposes the growing impotence of the institutions to deal with the new challenges  they face. At the same time, we depend on this trusted human infrastructure to  maintain and manage civil society. </p>
<p>There was once a time when one  man, JP Morgan, acting as lender of last resort, saved the Government of the  United States from financial failure. Since then, the financial history of the United States has been that large financial  institutions in the United    States were, and may still be, of a size that  the resources of the government have been sufficient to support key large  institutions. The People and the Government of the United States view certain critical  financial institutions as &ldquo;too big to fail&rdquo;. </p>
<p>Global interconnectedness may pose  a challenge to this ability. Most large financial institutions operate  internationally and may fall under the jurisdiction of multiple central banks,  regulatory agencies, accounting and legal rules and requirements. So if one or  potentially multiple large multinational financial institutions were to stand  at the brink of failure; a financial rescue may not be possible due to the size  and deep interconnectedness of these large institutions. At this point they may  be &ldquo;too big to save&rdquo;.</p>
<p>This is not just a financial  issue. Consider for a moment the serious ecological problems confronting China. What  happens if the pollution and water consumption were combined with a 100 year  drought? It is said that a human being can survive between eight and fourteen  days without drinking water. If a lack of clean drinking water caused China to suffer  a 15% drop in population, it would have an immediate and significant effect on  the rest of the world. Alternatively, pandemic is a real and pervasive risk in  the world today. Many national and international medical institutions  coordinate information and research to monitor pandemic risks. Yet, a pandemic  might begin with an unobserved and unmonitored virus, the unknown unknown. If a  virus jumped from somewhere in the world to Europe, or the United States, would  the existing international institutions have both the authority and the will to  act in time? Given the physical interconnectedness of our world today, could a  viral outbreak create an event where the people and nations at risk are  collectively &ldquo;too big to save.&rdquo;</p>
<p>Just to be clear, my comments are  not about the size of our institutions. Rather, I think there are difficult  question about who has the ultimate authority to act, in a global crisis, knowing  that all actions will involve multinational triage. As we have recently seen,  in a crisis, there is no time for diplomatic negotiations, difficult decisions  need to be made and every decision will be criticized. The rapid pace of global  interconnectedness has forever changed the context in which our current  institutions and social structures exist. </p>
<p>I began this essay with financial  institutions, because in some respect they are the clearest recent example of this  interconnectedness. Further, the issues generated by the interconnectedness of international  financial institutions are transparent and hence the least ambiguous to  address. We might begin by recognizing that the current crisis has accelerated  the need for a single set of global accounting standards. With respect to  ecology or pandemic, I am neither knowledgeable enough nor wise enough to know  how to address these complex issues. I read articles and essays written by others  far better qualified to opine on what the solutions might be. What I have  concluded is that despite subjects being extremely difficult; but the debate  needs to begin.</p>
<p>At the beginning of the 21st century,  I continue to believe that we as individuals, participants in an interconnected  global community, have the strength and fortitude to build new, global  structures and institutions, capable of acting, in the place of individual  nations or groups of nations, in the face of global crisis. Each time my  children remind me to recycle, my belief is reinforced. I also believe deeply in  the inventiveness and creativity of human endeavor.
  </p>
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